Vetting database is mighty maths mess

John Ozimek, writing in The Register, highlights the likely inaccuracy of government estimates of the number of people who would be forced to register on the Independent Safeguarding Authority database:

Home Office estimates for the eventual size of the vetting database look like becoming one of the most inelastic – and therefore least accurate – forecasts in the history of this government’s planning process.

Not even a recent announcement that government is considering legislative changes that would eventually force almost all the adult population to register with the database can shift them one jot from their view that the best estimate for the database will be 11.3 million adults by 2015.

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